Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.043170 0.046841 0.050535 0.054527 0.058711 0.062961 0.067598
2025-10-05 0.036635 0.042002 0.047582 0.053795 0.060495 0.067480 0.075289
2025-10-12 0.032310 0.038936 0.046029 0.054133 0.063079 0.072603 0.083459
2025-10-19 0.029136 0.036750 0.045116 0.054889 0.065897 0.077821 0.091626
2025-10-26 0.026506 0.034892 0.044330 0.055581 0.068476 0.082655 0.099288
2025-11-02 0.022853 0.031539 0.041573 0.053793 0.068054 0.083974 0.102896
2025-11-09 0.020422 0.029432 0.040088 0.053311 0.068985 0.086709 0.108005
2025-11-16 0.018418 0.027683 0.038891 0.053043 0.070059 0.089524 0.113139
2025-11-23 0.017529 0.027255 0.039232 0.054564 0.073202 0.094708 0.120989
2025-11-30 0.016586 0.026678 0.039328 0.055736 0.075891 0.099339 0.128190
2025-12-07 0.015542 0.025888 0.039092 0.056446 0.077985 0.103246 0.134532
2025-12-14 0.014386 0.024865 0.038493 0.056649 0.079419 0.106338 0.139897
2025-12-21 0.013726 0.024511 0.038769 0.057986 0.082298 0.111235 0.147506
2025-12-28 0.012289 0.022968 0.037406 0.057174 0.082479 0.112864 0.151221
2026-01-04 0.011391 0.022139 0.036952 0.057498 0.084053 0.116168 0.156938
2026-01-11 0.010724 0.021606 0.036863 0.058271 0.086173 0.120129 0.163447
2026-01-18 0.010091 0.021076 0.036746 0.058983 0.088200 0.123970 0.169815
2026-01-25 0.008707 0.019273 0.034759 0.057123 0.086874 0.123625 0.171060
2026-02-01 0.007848 0.018239 0.033813 0.056621 0.087262 0.125382 0.174850
2026-02-08 0.007122 0.017367 0.033056 0.056341 0.087912 0.127446 0.179005
2026-02-15 0.006940 0.017409 0.033642 0.057921 0.091010 0.132597 0.186985
2026-02-22 0.006677 0.017288 0.033973 0.059137 0.093626 0.137145 0.194232
2026-03-01 0.006314 0.016960 0.033973 0.059874 0.095600 0.140881 0.200476